Despite the odds, I survived my root canal yesterday fairly unscathed (the flat screen above my head turned to ESPN's NFL Live made things a lot more bearable). Before the endodontist started the process he asked if I wanted to see all of the tools and know exactly what he was going to do and I told him yes, too much information was far better than too little. Kind of my theory on this blog, really. I might throw a bunch of links at you but I say it's better to have too many links, too many details to keep track of than to be in the dark on the latest fantasy musings.
So let's get right to today's links:
So let's get right to today's links:
- Michael Turner has been a hot commodity in every mock draft I've seen or participated in - so read up on why the FantasyHulks think he's overvalued. Love seeing analysis that varies from the masses.
- Speaking of the masses, Football Outsiders has been playing around with the Wisdom of Crowds theory by gathering and tweeting collective intelligence from their readers and other FF experts on 2009 player predictions. I like this - a lot. Those of you who have been reading my blog for awhile know that I create a collective ranking from experts every August - and then analyze the success of each expert during the offseason. Part of this includes looking at how well ADP (average draft position) and sites like the FFNerd, which is all about collective intelligence, rank up against individual experts. Interesting stuff.
- Lester's Legends has a quick Fantasy Football Top 25 Wide Receiver Rankings list up.
- The FFManiaxs and FantasyPros911 have merged and one of the first Maniaxs articles up on FantasyPros911's site looks at Lorenzo Neal and why he might just spice up the otherwise anemic Oakland Raiders.
- You've heard the advice before to look at bye weeks and try not to draft too many players with overlapping bye weeks, right? Well The Hazean advises against this kind of targeted drafting, suggesting that you really want the best player available - take a look at Fantasy Spin: 2009 NFL bye weeks where he expands on this idea but also provides a bye week list with most of the top fantasy players listed by bye week and team.
Comments
I really do wonder about the 'wisdom of the crowds' assumptions & limitations. If we assume teams play to the level they did last season in 2008, but with the 2009 NFL schedule using AER's the Packers are favored to improve the most of anyone next season with more win +6 games. The team's most likely to have a chance at a 0-16 record in 2009? The Raiders, and Bucs. Of course, last year's AERs applied to estimate next season's individual records is also imperfect but at least it gives a person a basic line to then apply off-season changes to personnel & coaching changes. I really do wonder if the mass of sports writers assumptions take into account both the top-down and bottom-up points of view when they create their NFL player points projection estimations for Fantasy Football.
Is their a version of the FF Nerd that takes into account real Fantasy Football league drafts by average everyday people, rather than a sample size of sports writers? I wonder what the valuation differences would be?
Thanks again, FFlibrarian =-)