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Showing posts from June, 2010

Multi-year results for accuracy with RB rankings

Today we're going to take a look at the multi-year accuracy analysis for running backs. If you need a refresher on what exactly the multi-year analysis is all about, take a look back at my first post last week that looked at QBs . The primary thing to keep in mind here is that the number listed under average on the far right is the average percentile ranking for each site for their participation, and the lower the number, the better a site is at rankings as compared to their peers. Some of the 54 sites I looked at have been in it for 3 years, others only 2 or even 1. As with the other positions I've divided them up into the top sites based on length of participation. Later this week I'll be posting the results for top overall accuracy across all 4 positions, so stay tuned for that. One thing I'd like to point out here is the best average percentile difference between the positions. I'm looking primarily at those sites who have been in it for 3 years since they hav

Time to get moving

It's hard to believe July is almost here but you all know what that means? The unofficial increase of fantasy content as the NFL season gets closer and closer. Training camps start in July so if that doesn't get you excited then I don't know what will. July also means moving time for me - my husband and I found a new apartment to accommodate our growing family and are moving on July 17th...a mere 2.5 weeks away. But is anything packed yet? Of course not. And does that make me anxious? Of course! It's an assault on all of my natural instincts to plan, but I figure it's good for me. Though if I start babbling about boxes and packing tape a lot in the next few weeks, you'll know why. Plenty of links to send you to today, including a few new draft kits. With a long weekend coming up in a few days, sounds like plenty of time for grilling, fireworks and of course FF prepping. First up, let's get to those draft kits. ESPN's 2010 Draft Kit is pr

Multi-year results for accuracy with TE rankings

We're rolling on with the multi-year accuracy results - for those who are new to the blog, since 2007 I've gathered and analyzed preseason rankings from fantasy football experts and noted which expert is the most accurate with their rankings. You can see the results of 2009 here , 2008 here , and 2007 here . However, I think many of you would agree that an aggregate look at which site has been the most accurate across all three years is of even greater importance. So I posted the results for multi-year accuracy with QBs and WRs last week and tonight we've got TEs. For details on how the accuracy is calculated, just scope out one of the previous year's results, and to see the details on how/why I calculated a percentile average (remember: the lower the average, the better!) for the multi-year approach, take a look at the QBs post from last week. If you'd like a list of all 54 sites included in this analysis, scope out the WR post . Ten of those 54 sites have partic

FF linkorama

Happy insufferably hot Thursday. If you've managed to find a place that is not part of the oppressive heat covering much of the country, then kudos; wish I could magically transport myself to the Arctic right now. But perhaps thinking about fantasy football is just what we all need...so onto today's links! Check out The Hazean's musings on what would happen if Vincent Jackson leaves San Diego . A couple of mocks for you: First, FFXtreme was part of a recent Rotoworld Experts Mock Draft and he's posted the mock results . I'll be honest, I heart Finley, too, but note that Smitty's drafting of him as the first TE overall is really more of a statement selection, not likely to be the spot that he'll be drafted in the vast majority of leagues. If you've been waiting for a mock draft for auction leagues, well then you're in luck - Fantasyfanplay.com has just what you're looking for in Making a Mockery 3.0: A Bidding War . Razzball has taken their r

Multi-year results for accuracy with WR rankings

Time to roll out the multi-year wide receiver rankings accuracy results! If you're looking for some background on this multi-year accuracy analysis, take a look at Monday's post on QBs , but essentially I'm averaging percentiles for each site for each year that they participated in the contest (2007-2009). The lower your average, the better your accuracy. Again I'm splitting it into sites that have been participating for all 3 years (which amounts to 10 sites), 2 years (13 sites), and then those from whom I only have 1 year of data (another 31 sites). Today I'm also listing out all of the 54 sites that have ever participated in the contest so that you're aware of which sites the contest has assessed in the past and how many years they've been included. It's of course not surprising to note that the longer you participate in the contest, the higher your percentile average becomes but I imagine there will be some leveling off of that percentile in the ne

Breaking for some FF linkage

Today we're back to regular links here on FFLibrarian, but don't worry, I'll be back tomorrow with the wide receiver results for the multi-year accuracy analysis. Or maybe even tonight if I get overly ambitious but I think we all know that's unlikely, solely based on how long it has taken me to get to this point of the process. Also, as requested by several of you, tomorrow I will post all 54 sites that have participated in the contest over the past 3 years. But let's jump into today's links since there's some good stuff being posted this week: First and foremost, I'm guessing you've heard that Steve Smith (CAR) broke his arm while playing flag football but just in case you missed the news, take a look at ESPN's Stephania Bell's take on the injury . Her blog is always a great place to start if you're wondering about the real toll of a player's injury. Speaking of injuries, another good read is FFToday's Anatomy of

Multi-year results for accuracy with QB rankings

Happy summer! To celebrate the new season and my return to a land where I can get e-mail and cell phone reception (had a great time this weekend but I do love the creature comforts of civilization...), I have a little something fun for everyone: the start of the aggregate accuracy analysis results. For those who are new to the blog, I've spent the past several years analyzing the accuracy of preseason expert rankings to find out which sites did the best job at predicting position rankings for the season. I started in 2007 and looked at 14 websites; after joining up with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association the following year it grew to 24 websites, and then a whopping 48 sites in 2009. At this point it has become almost entirely a submission process so if your favorite site isn't included, it's likely because they either chose not to submit or just do not know about the contest. You can read all of the details about how I analyze the rankings each year here and

Mock On

Tomorrow afternoon my husband and I are hopping on a plane for a long weekend spent with family. I'll be in eastern Ohio in a rather remote and unfriendly cell phone spot, which might actually be really good for relaxing. But not so good for FFLibrarian blogging. I'll be back on Monday with the usual links. And in the meantime, keep the feedback on your favorite host site for fantasy football coming my way , as well as any suggestions you have for making this blog more helpful for you this year. Let's scope out today's links: I've got another mock draft for you but before we get to it, take a look at Rapid Draft's look at how/why one can use mock drafting to hone their drafting craft - Mock-draft season has its value . And onto the mock, this one from FFToolbox who does an expert mock each month of the summer. I dig the sentence or two of commentary on each pick. Makes this mock particularly helpful in my book.  If you're thinking mocks and wondering w

Looking for your feedback

It's possible that I just walked into a scene from that show The Apprentice ; is that show even on anymore? I was running an errand in midtown NYC and encountered a significant mob surrounding a dude with free pizza selling pedicab rides being filmed by a rather extensive tv crew. I've never actually seen the show but the buzz on the street corner was that this was The Apprentice or something akin to it. Look for a pregnant lady with an annoyed-by-the-tourist-mob expression when it airs: that's me. So NY of me, right? So I disappeared for a week and thought in return I'd hit you with back-to-back posts as a taste of what's to come once the season really gets cranking. Without further ado, today's links: If you'd like someone to debate all the pros and cons of the elite WRs on the scene, then head on over to FantasySharks.com and see which guys they cover in Top 6 WR Pros & Cons .  Wondering which guys are going to bounce back from tough

Aggregate accuracy rankings ARE coming!

Well I've gone radio silent yet again on you all. I was at the FSTA Summer Conference last week (hopefully you followed along if you had any interest on my FSTA Conference blog - or you can keep an eye on the FantasySportsBusiness.com sit e for conference wrap-up articles) and then continued on the apartment search for much of the weekend. Don't want to get ahead of myself here but I think we found a place and I for one couldn't be more excited. I'll know more over the next few days but soon the fun of packing and moving can begin. However, I do have great news on the aggregate rankings front for you guys. I've been blabbering on for awhile about how I'm going to pull together the results of my accuracy ranking contest from the past several years into an aggregate accuracy ranking. For quite some time the data was trapped on a dead computer but this weekend the computer was finally revived and I pulled the old data off - I anticipate having the

FF expert draft results

Just a reminder that I'm live blogging some results and thoughts on the FSTA Summer Conference fantasy football expert drafts - there are 2 drafts going on simultaneously and I've got comments up on my FSTA Conference blog . A few interesting teams developing...

And so it begins!

Wow, I've been quiet on FFLibrarian over the past few days - thanks for your patience, it has been a nutty week. I've ventured to the Brooklyn DMV for a New York license, I've celebrated my 31st birthday, and I've hit the pavement searching (fruitlessly) for a new apartment in NYC. For those who know how "fun" the apartment search in this city can be, you know just what kind of a day we had on Sunday...toss in some crazy heat and a pregnant lady, and man...good times! But on the plus side, many fantasy sites are reawakening from a long offseason slumber this week and I'm seeing all sorts of awesome material out there. Plus in just a few hours I hop on a plane and head to Chicago for the FSTA (Fantasy Sports Trade Association) Summer Conference - you can follow along with the experts drafts tonight, as well as the rest of the conference on my FSTA Conference blog . So without further ado let's get to today's highlights: One of those sites that&

Happenings in the Fantasy Biz

While most of my sports world news today is filled with talk about the need for replay challenges in baseball, there is of course other news...on the fantasy front, The Big Lead has found a buyer in Fantasy Sports Ventures for 7 figures. Yes, 7 figures. Gives hope to all those one-(wo)man shows and small sites that one day they might at least be worth a little more than they imagined...but do note Jason McIntyre's quote here about the sacrifices he made. In other acquisition news, MyFantasyLeague.com (the host of the monster FFLibrarian League) has acquired HomeGrownSports.com . But let's be honest, you're probably not here for the latest fantasy biz news (though if that's your bag, swing by FantasySportsBusiness.com or FantasyEthos for more), you're really here for analysis, rankings, insight. So let's get to it! We've got a couple of resources looking at sleeper or late pick receivers: FFToolbox.com's Super Sleeper Receivers - you