Bob is back with his defensive brilliance - read and enjoy!
As advertised, Week 9 was going to be a challenge to Defs
and that proved to be true. Not only were we missing some strident Defs, the
ones that were left didn’t have many great matchups. The result was the lowest
average Def points for the year. Average for the year is now at 9.45, last week
was 7.5! Average total Def points per week is 278, last week the total was 195.
So if you were disappointed last week, you weren’t alone.
The top two recommended only got 8 points apiece, STL and
DEN. The 3 highly owned that had tempered expectations did no better, with GB
posted its second egg in a row. We have to wonder what’s happening in GB on
both sides of the ball.
The shining stars however belonged to some of the streams. The
recommended streams averaged 12.2 points, with both NY teams posting double
digits. ATL had the least points at 8 which equaled the two highly owned
recommended. The 2 desperate picks turned out as truly desperate, with only 2
and 5 points garnered. So it was definitely a good week for streams.
So what does this week look like? Here are some links you
can use to help you sift through week 10. As usual, my analysis, may or may not
align with the pros:
- The Fake Football's Dreaming of Streaming: Week 10
- NFL.com's Week 10 Waiver Wire: Streaming Defenses to Target
- Rotoballer's Week 10 Defense Streamers and Starts
- Yahoo's Getting Defensive: Week 10
Here are the ownership and projections for Defs this week of
the ‘highly owned’ defenses. Highly owned being better than 80% this week. The
highly owned are slated to do well this week, so start ‘em if you got ‘em.
Highly Owned
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Team
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OPP
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Yahoo Pts
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Owned
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Comments
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STL
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CHI
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9.36
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97%
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The Rams are still the 3rd best defense leading in INTs and
Sacks, and the Bears are the 5 most generous. Bears have given up 3 TDs to
special teams as well. With STL at home this is the 2nd best start of the
week.
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DEN
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KC
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9.01
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97%
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The Broncos continue to terrorize Offs, even stingy ones. KC is
a very conservative Off, so this is going to be another one of those
challenges, but the Chiefs are giving up some sacks. Look for another good
week from the #1 Def. 4th best start.
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NE
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@NYG
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7.08
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96%
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The Pats can be hot and cold. The Giants just don't make many
mistakes, and the Pats make hay against good matchups. This is not one, start
them but temper your expectations.
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SEA
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ARI
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6.33
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95%
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This is not last year's SEA. Did you know they only have 3 picks
this year? And Palmer is a veteran. I don't like this matchup, but since SEA
is at home, I'll give the 12th man the benefit of the doubt. Start but temper
expectations, with some down side if ARI gets up early.
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PHI
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MIA
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9.85
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87%
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OK I'm a believer. The Eagles have really picked up their
defense lately, averaging almost 15 points in their last 4 outings. MIA can
be had and with PHI at home and looking for the Division win, this is the 5th
best start.
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ARI
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@SEA
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8.56
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87%
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SEA isn't that great a target but they have their issues on the
OFF line. ARI is 5th against the run and SEA has some running issues as well.
Look for a big day for the ARI Def holding SEA to less than 20 pts.
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CAR
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@TEN
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9.83
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85%
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#1 target, CAR 4th in sacks, TEN 2nd most sacks, #1 matchup,
very safe start
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GB
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DET
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8.81
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84%
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GB has been failing on DEF lately, but this week it's DET. DET
is in shambles with talk of trading Stafford and even Megatron, wow. DET is
giving up the most INTs in the league, and playing in the frozen tundra,
start GB with confidence.
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BUF
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@NYJ
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6.72
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81%
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Bills do well against prime targets. The Jets are not one of
them. Conservative with ball control, the Jets just are not a good target. I
would look elsewhere
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With 8 recommended starts of the highly owned, there isn’t
much to choose from for this week’s streams, so I’m only giving you 3 locks to
stream, with a desperate one for those without any other options.
Week 9 Best Streams
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PIT
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CLE
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8.01
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42%
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CLE is the 3rd most generous DEF this year no matter which QB
starts. PIT at home makes this the 3rd best start of the week. Start the
improving PIT Def with confidence.
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NYJ
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BUF
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7.29
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73%
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I have this as the 9th best start. The Jets are definitely
better at home than abroad. I like the Jets keeping their wild card spot this
week.
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CIN
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HOU
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7.74
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72%
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The Bengals Def is quietly averaging 10 points a game. Against a
bad offense at home, I like CIN to continue with double digit Def pts.
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BAL
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JAC
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7.14
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33%
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JAC is averaging giving up over 12 points a game is the last 4
outings. BAL is a terrible DEF, but JAC is just too generous. If you're
desperate, start BAL but temper expectations.
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The streams are listed in order I think they will score, in
spite of the matchups. That’s the best I can do for you this week with only 3
recommended streams, but most of you should have the highly owned and
recommended this week, so party on!
Comments