Bob is baaaack! He's got thoughts and deep wisdom on defenses this week, which I definitely need help with since I'm a Seattle girl this year. So let's read on.
It’s the dreaded Week 9, six teams on Bye, including the ARI
and SEA Defs. Heck, even the Chiefs are missing and becoming a force on Def. Along
with that, two other notable Defs, GB and CAR, are facing each other this week,
and neither team gives up Def points easily. What’s a girl to do? (I was asking
Sara, not me, I’m a man…)
So let’s get to it and I’ll try to show some enthusiasm in
the face of distress. First, as usual, I’m big on accountability, so how’d we
do last week? It was a pretty good week for the highly owned and recommended.
SEA, CAR, ARI, and STL all did well, but they were supposed to, given the weak
opponents for each. NE surprised, and are looking like a juggernaut now. Did
you know they are leading in sacks? And I was flat out wrong about DEN, but I
don’t think anyone saw that beat down coming.
The streams were a mixed bag. Four of them did well, but the
Jets and GB were a disaster. Didn’t see that one coming. And my bonus pick of
the Texans paid off in spades. But alas, they too, are on a Bye this week.
So what does this week look like? Here are some links you
can use to help you sift through week 9. As usual, my analysis, may or may not
align with the pros.
- The Fake Football's Dreaming of Streaming: Week 9
- NFL.com's Week 9 Waiver Wire: Streaming Defenses to Target
- Rotoballer's Week 9 Defensive Streamers and Starts
Here are the ownership and projections for Defs this week of
the ‘highly owned’ defenses. Highly owned being better than 80% this week. There
are only 2 highly owned recommendations this week, with 3 warnings on
expectations.
|
Highly Owned
|
||||
|
Team
|
OPP
|
Owned
|
Yahoo Pts
|
Comments
|
|
SEA
|
BYE
|
100%
|
0
|
Bye week keep them stashed but need a stream
|
|
ARI
|
BYE
|
99%
|
0
|
Bye week keep them stashed but need a stream
|
|
STL
|
@MIN
|
98%
|
8.19
|
STL is 4th best defense and front seven will contain AP, forcing
passing situations for MIN. Start 'em.
|
|
DEN
|
@IND
|
95%
|
8.87
|
Best of the highly owned matchups, IND can't pass protect, start
w/confidence
|
|
CAR
|
GB
|
90%
|
5.46
|
After what DEN did to GB, I'm going to suggest you start, but
temper expectations because GB is still greedy giving up points to Defs, and
will make adjustments from last week.
|
|
GB
|
@CAR
|
88%
|
7.64
|
What happened to GB last week? They have another tough matchup
this week, CAR is the 10th stingiest, temper expectations.
|
|
NE
|
WAS
|
88%
|
8.39
|
11th best start, and WAS is vulnerable on the road, but stingy
with Def pts, NE is second in sacks, start NE but temper expectations, and
you may see some upside from an energized NE Def
|
I like only two of highly owned this week, so I give you five
streams this week and two more if you have no other options, because I’m
generous like that. Besides, it’s a tough week with 2 top Defs out and another
that is on the rise.
|
Week 9 Best Streams
|
||||
|
ATL
|
@SF
|
64%
|
8.17
|
Number 1 matchup, SF is #2 target, in complete disarray, may
have new QB, start ATL looking to get back on track with upside.
|
|
CIN
|
CLE
|
33%
|
8.15
|
Number 6 matchup, CLE is 3rd best target, with either QB this is
a good stream, with upside at home.
|
|
NYJ
|
JAC
|
70%
|
7.94
|
Number 7 best matchup, Jets were embarrassed last week, as the
week before. Turns out the Jets amass points against poor offenses and falter
against good ones. JAC is a poor offense, start with confidence.
|
|
NYG
|
@TB
|
39%
|
8.14
|
Number 2 matchup, TB is 4th most generous, NYG is 7th best
defense and leads the league in INTs.
|
|
PHI
|
@DAL
|
70%
|
7.18
|
Number 4 best matchup, DAL is still without Romo, this is a safe
stream.
|
|
MIN
|
STL
|
60%
|
6.47
|
Number 5 matchup, 10th best target, 10th best Def, MIN is 2nd against
Pts, but with STL running the ball well, you may want to temper expectations.
|
|
NO
|
TEN
|
4%
|
6.12
|
Number 8 best matchup, TEN has risen to #1 target and NO is
improving, start if Mettenberger plays, I'd pass if Mariota returns.
|
The streams are listed in order I think they will score, in
spite of the matchups. That’s the best I can do for you this week. Remember,
every week there’s always one DEF on the waiver list that can come through for
you that week. Last week I said it would be Green Bay…oops. This week watch
what the Falcons do to a team that is imploding.
Comments
Mine would be...
Week9: really a coinflip for me right now
Week10: ATL bye... NE@NYG...not the best matchup here for many fantasypoints!?...
Week11: ATLvsIND and NEvsBUF...if Luck continuous to struggle->ATL
Week12: ATLvsMIN and NE@DEN...again not easy but at the moment I say ATL
Week13: ATL@TB and NEvsPHI...if philly continuous to play like this I go with NE
Week14: ATL@CAR and NE@HOU...NE
Week15: ATL@JAC and NEvsTEN...NE
Week16: ATLvsCAR and NE@NYJ...hmmm maybe a better option to stream
after Week 12/13 I would drop ATL and hopefully find something for Week16 :D
We were honestly leaning the other way in wk 12 (Peyton) but we'll have time to judge....both good options.
If we make wk 16 title we'll be thrilled - lots of jelly beans at stake - and will make a GTD. Today, we'd pick ATL since CAR offense has low upside and ATL seems stronger against the run, but if Geno or Bryce Petty are QBing and the Pats are 14-0....
I'm 4-4... but there is still some hope :D this week is crucial!
Can't really decide how much I like or don't like my team(s) this year haha
Bortles, Cutler(only this week)
Ivory, L. Murray, D. Murray, Ryan Mathews, C.J.
Julio, Crabtree, LaFell, J. Matthews
Olsen
Gould
NE/ATL
Good luck for the rest of the season! I would LOVE to see my team in wk 16 :D